Nonimmigrant Admissions to the United States: 2009
On Saturday, President Obama announced at the G-20 that his
administration will move forward with the South Korea FTA and submit it to Congress
for approval soon.
You can read the quick reaction from our
own Lori Wallach here.
Today happens to be the three-year anniversary
of the signing of the Korea FTA, and we know what that means: the FTA was
negotiated by Bush for the benefit of his cronies in big business and before
the financial crisis rocked the global economy. The Korea FTA contains all the anti-democratic
NAFTA and CAFTA investor-state lawsuit provisions that allow corporations to
sue governments if the governments implement regulations that could reduce their
profits (as we’ve seen recently with the El Salvador mining case).
The Korea FTA also contains extremely deregulatory
provisions in financial services which are in some ways more deregulatory than any
other trade agreement to date. This type
of financial deregulation is completely inappropriate now that we have
witnessed how financial “wizards” can devastate the economy with their wild, unregulated
derivatives trading and risky gambling. Furthermore, it contradicts the congressional
efforts underway right now to re-regulate the financial sector. The dangerous investor-state lawsuit provisions
and financial services deregulation in the Korea FTA need to be stripped out
before it is brought before Congress.
The Korea FTA, based on the flawed NAFTA model, could also
be a disaster for working families. Several
studies on the Korea FTA as it is currently written illustrate the consequences
of trying to pass the Korea FTA as it stands:
Dr. Robert Scott at the Economic Policy Institute (EPI) recently
released a report on the probable employment impacts of the current version of
the Korea FTA.
His analysis found that the implementation of the Korea FTA would cost the U.S. about 159,000 net jobs over the next seven
years due to a $13.9 billion increase in the U.S.
deficit with Korea.
The U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC), an
independent federal body that analyzes the likely effects of trade agreements
for Congress, also found that the Korea FTA would result in an increase in the
total U.S.
trade deficit (see Table 2.3 in the report).
The structure of their model does not
allow the total number of people employed to vary, so their report does not
contain a net job loss estimate to accompany the estimate of the increased
deficit. However, the USITC does have sector-by-sector estimates of employment
changes, which show that workers in high-paying manufacturing industries will
lose in the agreement (see Table 2.4 in the report). The electronic equipment industry, for
instance, will shed up to 0.4 percent of its workers. The U.S. auto industry is projected to lose
about 0.2 percent of its workforce due to the Korea FTA.
Of course, the corporate lobbyists have stepped up with
their misleading models that predict job growth. One such study by the Chamber
of Commerce predicts that hundreds of thousands of jobs would be created by the
implementation of the Korea FTA. A major
problem with the report is that it only mentions the impact, under their model,
of the Korea FTA upon exports. Nowhere
does it give an estimate of the increase in imports due to the FTA. In a study on the economic impact of a trade
agreement, you’d expect at a minimum to read estimates of the impact on both
sides of trade flows, not just exports. The
Chamber study doesn’t give an estimate of the import impacts and is vague in
its methodology section, which leaves the reader wondering if the Chamber study
accounted for the effects of rising imports at all. A study failing to account
for the rise of potentially job-killing imports would completely miss the mark
on the jobs impact of an FTA. The EPI
and USITC studies, which explicitly account for changes in imports, are much more
reliable than the Chamber study.
With his announcement to fix the Korea FTA, President Obama
has a historic opportunity to chart a new course in trade policy that benefits
workers, maintains democratic control over public policy, and promotes economic
stability rather than handing more power to multinational corporations and big
banks as trade policy over the last 20-plus years has done. Let’s hope he seizes the moment.
Lori Wallach’s full statement on Obama’s announcement is
after the jump:
If the administration wants to obtain broad support on what
may well be its first trade vote, it will need to fix more than beef and auto
trade problems. That’s because it has inherited a leftover Bush Korea trade
pact text that includes the same outrageous foreign investor rights as North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) plus the strongest dose of financial
deregulation ever contained in a U.S. trade pact. Fixing the
NAFTA-style investment chapter is critical because Korea is a capital exporter,
the Bush text provides foreign firms operating here with greater rights than
are provided under U.S. law and there are nearly 200 Korean firms already in
the U.S. that would be empowered to attack our environmental, health, financial
reregulation and other laws in foreign tribunals and demand taxpayer
compensation. Fixing past U.S.
trade pacts' overreaching foreign investor rights and their private corporate
enforcement was among President Barack Obama's leading campaign trade reform
commitments.
Background: The Bush-negotiated U.S.-Korea free trade
agreement (FTA), more than other bilateral agreements, has been justified for
its explicit role in pushing financial services liberalization (read:
deregulation). As well, the agreement's investment chapter includes the private
investor-state enforcement of an array of property rights that would provide Korea firms operating in the United States greater rights than provided to
domestic firms and investors under U.S. law as interpreted by the U.S.
Supreme Court. This is an especially critical problem given that Korea is a capital exporter and these
extraordinary rights would apply to the nearly 200 Korea firms already established
here. To date, Canada under
NAFTA has been the only other developed, capital exporting country with which
the United States has had
such an investment agreement, and it has resulted in an array of challenges to U.S.
environmental, health and other policies in foreign tribunals.
According to the Bush administration’s U.S. Trade
Representative's office, "The Financial Services Chapter of the United
States- South Korea Free Trade Agreement ("KORUS FTA") is a
groundbreaking achievement, providing more extensive provisions related to
financial services than ever before included in a U.S. FTA." Citigroup's Laura Lane, corporate co-chair of the
U.S.-Korea FTA Business Coalition, stated that "it is the best financial
services chapter negotiated in a free trade agreement to date."
Indeed, the deal includes everything that's not to like
about other Bush-negotiated FTAs, and then some. Like the World Trade
Organization, Central America Free Trade Agreement and the Peru FTA, the Korea
FTA commits its signatory countries to refrain from limiting the size of
financial institutions, banning toxic derivatives, or controlling destabilizing
capital flights and floods. It also includes similar "prudential
measures" language that fails to protect financial stability measures.
But the Korea FTA doesn't stop there. In March 2006, prior
to the formal U.S.-Korea negotiations, the Coalition of Service Industries
(CSI) stated that one of its primary objectives in the negotiation related to
data processing services: "Korean laws make it difficult for foreign
companies to outsource and offshore activities. These laws often relate to
privacy (private data protection law and real name law). These regulations
should be modified to permit companies to follow their global operating models
for outsourcing and offshoring provided they have existing practices to protect
consumer information."
This gripe was echoed in the USTR's 2009 National Trade
Estimate report: "Korea's
strict data privacy rules require financial services providers to locate their
servers physically in Korea,
thus hampering foreign providers' ability to take advantage of economies of
scale in the region to perform data processing in their daily business
activity."
Corporations demanded, and corporations got. A provision
unique to the Korea FTA reads: "Transfer of Information: Each Party shall
allow a financial institution of the other Party to transfer information in
electronic or other form, into and out of its territory, for data processing
where such processing is required in the institution's ordinary course of
business."
Shocking and depressing that the Obama Admin would even consider this. Are they so politically clueless that they don't know why they won all those Midwestern states?
And why publicize that you have told USTR to get a deal done? How does revealing to the Koreans that Obama is desperate for a deal help get a good deal?
How about trying this: start taking Korean access OFF the table until the Koreans start buying as many U.S.-manufactured products as they sell us Korean-manufactured products.
No negotiation, no stupid falling for the same tricks. Just insist on balanced trade, end of story.
Posted by: Don Juan of Austria | June 30, 2010 at 09:15 PM
It's hard to imagine that either the American people or the Congress will look favorably on any free trade deal with South Korea when no Administration or Congress has been able to resolve the distortions in competition brought about by China's undervalued currency. Moreover, while negotiations on the FTA with Korea were progressing, Korea appreciated it's currency, the won, but after negotiations were completed the won declined again in value thus distorting trade through those illegal subsidies.
It is sad that politicians of all political stripes are so wont to allow other countries to discriminate against U.S. workers and U.S. products.
Posted by: Bob Cassidy | July 03, 2010 at 04:32 PM